When Is The Right Time To Sell A Privately-Held Company?
There are many factors that determine best timing for selling a small business: the financial condition of the company, valuation, growth cycle, profit history, and the current market.
There is one aspect about timing that comes into play that seems to dominate all other factors....it is the business owner's emotional readiness to sell. However, if the primary determining criteria in the decision to sell your business is emotional readiness, you may put yourself in a weaker bargaining position when you do decide to sell.
Value is dynamic and proper timing makes a big difference in the prices paid for business acquisitions. External factors such as the economy, the mergers-and-acquisitions marketplace, industry trends, competition, stock market volatility, investor confidence, interest rates, and geopolitical considerations are cycles of constant change that impact value. Internal conditions within a company, of course, also change -- often in combination with external factors, sometimes independent of those factors. Changes do, and will, occur and they always tend to impact business value -- sometimes eroding value and sometimes increasing value.
Yes, it's easy to understand that you should hold on to a growing business....sell it after it grows bigger. But how should you start thinking objectively about the best time to sell? Well, imagine the life of your business plotted as a bell curve with the peak being the top of the growth cycle. The top is when you have reached the flat plane of growth...a sustaining mode. Buyers pay the best prices when they can't see the top, when it looks like it's all up from here. When others can see the top, they may not buy, or they may pay prices based on the downside trend and higher risk factor. If you wait until your revenues are already sliding over to the downside of the bell curve, you have waited too long. Your business has already started to retire before you have. Buyers are not too interested in declining businesses. To get the best deal you have to sell on the way up -- not at the top or the downside -- and when the market and prices are good.
Markets change and fortunes change from year to year. The current status of the small business market place in Houston is hot. Buyers in every category are plentiful, our economic position is one of the top in the U.S., business policies are in place for continued prosperity and growth, interest rates are at historic lows, and capital is available for business acquisitions.
Fueling the market are the different categories of buyers. For example, a variety of people in the Individual Buyer Category are:
- early baby-boomer corporate retirees
- corporate refugees who have suffered a downsize
- foreign buyers seeing U.S. businesses as investment opportunities while the dollar is still valued lower against their own currency
- 30-something-up-and-comers aggressively buying and building
Increasingly, corporate America, both public and privately-held companies, are acquiring smaller firms as part of their strategy for growth and innovation. Private equity groups, too, are actively seeking add-on acquisitions in Houston for their investment portfolios. Each of these buyer categories, the strategic buyer and the investment buyer, vary in their acquisition criteria regarding the sectors they are targeting and the revenue ranges they require. However, we have seen one major common trend occurring. More and more private equity firms and corporations are looking for smaller businesses. These strategic and investment buyers in increasing numbers are considering businesses with lower minimum cash flow and total revenue generation as acquisition candidates than they were just one year ago.
We expect this trend to accelerate, especially in Houston, for two reasons. First, while the national credit crunch may have impacted the larger transactions, the smaller transactions are still very active because all buyer categories for privately-held, small enterprises are looking to put their money to work. Secondly, Houston has been minimally affected by the credit crises and has been deemed recession proof. As a result, the city is a major target in the business acquisition marketplace.
Buyers exceed sellers and we have a robust exit market for now. The time will come when the flood of baby-boomer business owners ready to sell will outweigh the ready buyers, and acquisition appetites and prices will fall. It will shift to a buyer's market rather than the seller's market that exits today. As a seller, you do not want to be participating in that buyer's market.
The time is right when the external and internal conditions are right...when the market, the buyers, and values are good and financing terms are favorable. When those factors are right, it's time to get your emotional readiness in line, or you are likely to miss the boat. It's that simple. If you turn down a great market, when buyers are willing to pay a great price, and if you wait too long for your emotional readiness to catch up, the market cycle or your business' internal conditions will likely have changed. The Market is ready and it is never wrong -- and like time, unfortunately, it waits for no one.










Acquiring a business is a team effort and finding the right business broker (intermediary) is just the start of building your squad. Here's a very common question posed by prospective buyers: